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Affect on the Gulf coast:
http http://www.usgcrp.gov/usgcrp/nacc/gulfcoastworkshop.htm#chapter5\\
Summary:
- most of the climate change scenarios predict increased variability in temperature at the regional level.
- Warming projections are based on annualized temperature changes
- Increased variability in precipitation -->potential to greatly impact coastal fisheries by
- affecting freshwater inflow to estuaries--> affecting flushing rates (the location of the freshwater- saltwater interface
- the quality of coastal estuarine nursery areas for fish and shellfish.
- Inland: increased variability in precipitation has the potential to negatively impact riverine fish resources.
- Gulf Coast
- small rates of sea-level rise take on a special significance in coastal Louisiana
- Fishermen of the Terrebonne Fishermen's Organization expressed concern about coastal erosion and the loss of coastal marsh habitat.
- subsidence of delta deposits of the Mississippi River and human alteration of coastal marsh.
- fishermen, who depend on the marsh for their livelihood, are concerned that sea level changes will exacerbate the current problems of coastal erosion.
- past 20 years (research): many of the estuary dependent species (including the important coastal fishery species) tend to use only the edges of marsh surrounding the estuary (only the first 50-150 ft).
- Computer simulations suggest that changes in fishery production in Louisiana can be correlated with changes in the amount of marsh edge.
- any change in fishery-dependent habitat, from regional climate or sea level change, that affects the quantity or quality of marsh edge has the potential to greatly impact fishery production.
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- results in redistribution of coastal marsh --> exacerbate habitat loss and fragmentation because of the increasingly disturbed nature of the coastal zone
- increase in severe weather-->potential to increase freshwater input (with positive or negative impacts depending on timing and location), and damage barrier islands with negative impacts on marsh and therefore coastal fisheries
- Temperature variability--> potential to either negatively or positively impact remaining fish stocks, depending on the timing (season, habitat, and life history stage affected).
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