...
- IUU can start a "self propagating cycle" (they cite Schmidt 2004)
- IUU by one fisherman induces other fishermen to go IUU
- More IUU --> more uncertainty in estimates --> stricter regulations --> more IUU
- Paton, 2005 says that IUU can become part of the culture of a fishing village
Estimating IUU
- "In a review for the FAO-IPOA, Evans (2000) explains that considerable progress could be made in accounting for IUU fishing by simply improving monitoring and data collection programs"
- suggest using "satellite imagery vessel detection systems" to get more data
- Statistical Methods
- Compare catch data to trade data
- Estimate IUU: estimate number of unregulated boats, extrapolate catch rates
- "reliant on the collection of a complex array effort and catch data"
- assumes that legal fishing is representative of IUU
- Model Methods
- population models: use survey data and CPUE, find difference between predicted mortality rate and actual mortality rate
- result could just be that the model was not totally accurate for a given year
- "quasi-quantitative Monte-Carlo integration": all data on UFM is combined into one analysis. "Each regieme is scored with respect to its influence on under-reporting; the values being based on available data"
- They cite Ainsworth and Pitcher, 2005; Pitcher et al, 2002; Pitcher and Watson, 2000
- What does ^^ even mean?
- models of IUU behavior; surveillance encounter probabilities:
- population models: use survey data and CPUE, find difference between predicted mortality rate and actual mortality rate